Stock Analysis

Is Time Interconnect Technology (HKG:1729) Using Too Much Debt?

SEHK:1729
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Time Interconnect Technology Limited (HKG:1729) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Time Interconnect Technology

What Is Time Interconnect Technology's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2021 Time Interconnect Technology had HK$1.13b of debt, an increase on HK$1.04b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$220.9m, its net debt is less, at about HK$906.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1729 Debt to Equity History January 31st 2022

How Strong Is Time Interconnect Technology's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Time Interconnect Technology had liabilities of HK$1.60b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$510.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$220.9m as well as receivables valued at HK$1.04b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$853.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Time Interconnect Technology has a market capitalization of HK$1.79b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With net debt to EBITDA of 2.6 Time Interconnect Technology has a fairly noticeable amount of debt. On the plus side, its EBIT was 7.5 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 2.6. Importantly Time Interconnect Technology's EBIT was essentially flat over the last twelve months. We would prefer to see some earnings growth, because that always helps diminish debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Time Interconnect Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Time Interconnect Technology generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 95% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Time Interconnect Technology was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit handle its debt, based on its EBITDA,. Considering this range of data points, we think Time Interconnect Technology is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Time Interconnect Technology (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:1729

Time Interconnect Technology

An investment holding company, manufactures and sells cable assembly and networking cable products in the People's Republic of China, the United States, the Netherlands, Singapore, the United Kingdom, Hong Kong, Mexico, and internationally.

Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.