The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Wan Kei Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1718) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is Wan Kei Group Holdings's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Wan Kei Group Holdings had HK$236.3m in debt in September 2021; about the same as the year before. However, it also had HK$234.6m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$1.70m.
How Strong Is Wan Kei Group Holdings' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Wan Kei Group Holdings had liabilities of HK$278.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$3.53m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$234.6m and HK$186.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has HK$139.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus liquidity suggests that Wan Kei Group Holdings' balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Given net debt is only 0.15 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Wan Kei Group Holdings's EBIT has low interest coverage of 0.48 times. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Notably, Wan Kei Group Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of HK$5.1m in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Wan Kei Group Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Wan Kei Group Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
Happily, Wan Kei Group Holdings's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its interest cover. Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Wan Kei Group Holdings is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Wan Kei Group Holdings (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About SEHK:1718
Wan Kei Group Holdings
An investment holding company, provides foundation and ground investigation field works to public and private sectors in Hong Kong.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.