Progressive Path Group Holdings Valuation
Is 1581 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 1581 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 1581 (HK$0.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$1.94)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 1581 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1581?
Key metric: As 1581 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 1581's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 2.3x |
| Earnings | HK$22.22m |
| Market Cap | HK$51.88m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.3x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 2.8x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 1581's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 5x | ||
1496 AP Rentals Holdings | 8.1x | n/a | HK$89.0m |
1142 E&P Global Holdings | 0.6x | n/a | HK$59.5m |
380 China Pipe Group | 1.7x | n/a | HK$110.6m |
8400 Asia Pioneer Entertainment Holdings | 9.7x | n/a | HK$44.0m |
1581 Progressive Path Group Holdings | 2.3x | n/a | HK$51.9m |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1581 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.3x) compared to the peer average (5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 1581's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Trade Distributors Industry?
| 5 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 10.4x | 6.5% | |
1581 Progressive Path Group Holdings | 2.3x | n/a | US$6.66m |
1733 E-Commodities Holdings | 1.8x | n/a | US$484.97m |
1001 Hong Kong Shanghai Alliance Holdings | 2.2x | n/a | US$22.49m |
| 5 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 10.4x | 6.5% | |
1581 Progressive Path Group Holdings | 2.3x | n/a | US$6.66m |
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1581 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.3x) compared to the Hong Kong Trade Distributors industry average (10.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 1581's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 2.3x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1581's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.
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