We Think Jujiang Construction Group (HKG:1459) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Simply Wall St
August 30, 2021
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Jujiang Construction Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:1459) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Jujiang Construction Group

What Is Jujiang Construction Group's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2021 Jujiang Construction Group had debt of CN¥667.0m, up from CN¥557.7m in one year. However, it does have CN¥256.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥410.4m.

SEHK:1459 Debt to Equity History August 30th 2021

How Strong Is Jujiang Construction Group's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jujiang Construction Group had liabilities of CN¥3.78b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥178.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥256.6m and CN¥4.04b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥347.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This luscious liquidity implies that Jujiang Construction Group's balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Jujiang Construction Group has net debt worth 1.5 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 6.9 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Fortunately, Jujiang Construction Group grew its EBIT by 10.0% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Jujiang Construction Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Jujiang Construction Group reported free cash flow worth 3.5% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

Jujiang Construction Group's level of total liabilities suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Jujiang Construction Group is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Jujiang Construction Group (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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