Stock Analysis

Here's Why Starlight Culture Entertainment Group's (HKG:1159) Statutory Earnings Are Arguably Too Conservative

SEHK:1159
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It might be old fashioned, but we really like to invest in companies that make a profit, each and every year. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Starlight Culture Entertainment Group (HKG:1159).

We like the fact that Starlight Culture Entertainment Group made a profit of HK$105.5m on its revenue of HK$317.5m, in the last year. The good news is that the company managed to grow its revenue over the last three years, and also move from loss-making to profitable.

See our latest analysis for Starlight Culture Entertainment Group

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1159 Earnings and Revenue History January 21st 2021

Not all profits are equal, and we can learn more about the nature of a company's past profitability by diving deeper into the financial statements. As a result, we think it's well worth considering what Starlight Culture Entertainment Group's cashflow (when compared to its earnings) can tell us about the nature of its statutory profit. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Starlight Culture Entertainment Group.

A Closer Look At Starlight Culture Entertainment Group's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Starlight Culture Entertainment Group has an accrual ratio of -0.85 for the year to June 2020. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of HK$341m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of HK$105.5m. Given that Starlight Culture Entertainment Group had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of HK$341m would seem to be a step in the right direction.

Our Take On Starlight Culture Entertainment Group's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Starlight Culture Entertainment Group's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Starlight Culture Entertainment Group's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And one can definitely find a positive in the fact that it made a profit this year, despite losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for Starlight Culture Entertainment Group and you'll want to know about them.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Starlight Culture Entertainment Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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