There's Reason For Concern Over E&P Global Holdings Limited's (HKG:1142) Massive 133% Price Jump

E&P Global Holdings Limited (HKG:1142) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 133% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 617% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that E&P Global Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Trade Distributors industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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See our latest analysis for E&P Global Holdings

What Does E&P Global Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that E&P Global Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on E&P Global Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, E&P Global Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 37% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 54% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.2% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that E&P Global Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

E&P Global Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that E&P Global Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for E&P Global Holdings (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.