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Cherish Sunshine International Limited (HKG:1094) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 28%
Cherish Sunshine International Limited (HKG:1094) shares have had a horrible month, losing 28% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 16% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Cherish Sunshine International's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Trade Distributors industry in Hong Kong, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for Cherish Sunshine International
How Cherish Sunshine International Has Been Performing
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Cherish Sunshine International as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Cherish Sunshine International, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Cherish Sunshine International?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Cherish Sunshine International's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 63%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 3.1% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that Cherish Sunshine International is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Cherish Sunshine International's P/S
Cherish Sunshine International's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We didn't quite envision Cherish Sunshine International's P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Cherish Sunshine International has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1094
Cherish Sunshine International
An investment holding company, trades in various products in the People’s Republic of China.