Dah Sing Banking Group Limited

SHSC:2356 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$10.0b

Dah Sing Banking Group Valuation

Is 2356 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2356 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2356 (HK$7.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$12.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2356 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2356?

Key metric: As 2356 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2356. This is calculated by dividing 2356's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2356's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.7x
EarningsHK$2.14b
Market CapHK$9.98b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2356's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2356 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.2x
440 Dah Sing Financial Holdings
4.4x4.3%HK$7.9b
9668 China Bohai Bank
4.2xn/aHK$16.7b
23 Bank of East Asia
8.4x12.8%HK$25.2b
2016 China Zheshang Bank
3.8x10.2%HK$78.6b
2356 Dah Sing Banking Group
4.7x5.6%HK$10.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2356 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the peer average (5.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2356's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
2356 4.7xIndustry Avg. 4.7xNo. of Companies11PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2356 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the Hong Kong Banks industry average (4.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2356's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2356 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.7x
Fair PE Ratio3.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2356 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2356 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$7.10
HK$7.80
+9.9%
11.5%HK$8.70HK$6.90n/a2
Nov ’25HK$7.42
HK$7.80
+5.1%
11.5%HK$8.70HK$6.90n/a2
Oct ’25HK$6.97
HK$7.80
+11.9%
11.5%HK$8.70HK$6.90n/a2
Sep ’25HK$6.78
HK$7.80
+15.0%
11.5%HK$8.70HK$6.90n/a2
Aug ’25HK$6.11
HK$7.80
+27.7%
11.5%HK$8.70HK$6.90n/a2
Jul ’25HK$6.51
HK$7.75
+19.0%
11.0%HK$8.60HK$6.90n/a2
Jun ’25HK$6.77
HK$7.75
+14.5%
11.0%HK$8.60HK$6.90n/a2
May ’25HK$6.42
HK$7.75
+20.7%
11.0%HK$8.60HK$6.90n/a2
Apr ’25HK$5.57
HK$7.75
+39.1%
11.0%HK$8.60HK$6.90n/a2
Mar ’25HK$5.09
HK$7.00
+37.5%
10.0%HK$7.70HK$6.30n/a2
Feb ’25HK$4.70
HK$7.00
+48.9%
10.0%HK$7.70HK$6.30n/a2
Jan ’25HK$5.04
HK$7.20
+42.9%
6.9%HK$7.70HK$6.70n/a2
Dec ’24HK$5.02
HK$7.20
+43.4%
6.9%HK$7.70HK$6.70n/a2
Nov ’24HK$5.08
HK$8.00
+57.5%
16.3%HK$9.30HK$6.70HK$7.422
Oct ’24HK$5.18
HK$8.00
+54.4%
16.3%HK$9.30HK$6.70HK$6.972
Sep ’24n/a
HK$8.00
0%
16.3%HK$9.30HK$6.70HK$6.782
Aug ’24n/a
HK$8.20
0%
13.4%HK$9.30HK$7.10HK$6.112
Jul ’24n/a
HK$8.40
0%
6.0%HK$8.90HK$7.90HK$6.512
Jun ’24n/a
HK$8.40
0%
6.0%HK$8.90HK$7.90HK$6.772
May ’24n/a
HK$8.40
0%
6.0%HK$8.90HK$7.90HK$6.422
Apr ’24n/a
HK$8.40
0%
6.0%HK$8.90HK$7.90HK$5.572
Mar ’24n/a
HK$8.50
0%
11.8%HK$9.50HK$7.50HK$5.092
Feb ’24n/a
HK$8.70
0%
9.9%HK$9.50HK$7.50HK$4.703
Jan ’24n/a
HK$8.90
0%
8.6%HK$9.50HK$7.60HK$5.044
Dec ’23n/a
HK$8.90
0%
8.6%HK$9.50HK$7.60HK$5.024
Nov ’23n/a
HK$8.90
0%
8.6%HK$9.50HK$7.60HK$5.084

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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