Li Auto Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Li Auto is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 24.7% and 19.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 24.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 19.1% in 3 years.

Key information

24.7%

Earnings growth rate

24.8%

EPS growth rate

Auto earnings growth17.2%
Revenue growth rate19.7%
Future return on equity19.1%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated19 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SHSC:2015 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026239,43317,87624,15537,71936
12/31/2025195,19612,19616,00730,32040
12/31/2024146,0237,6967,18615,52829
9/30/2024141,91810,16716,78224,547N/A
6/30/2024133,72410,17620,95528,029N/A
3/31/2024130,69811,36733,06439,571N/A
12/31/2023123,85111,70444,18650,694N/A
9/30/202399,7696,30332,80638,325N/A
6/30/202374,4321,83917,62223,310N/A
3/31/202354,512-1,0729,53113,327N/A
12/31/202245,287-2,0122,2527,380N/A
9/30/202238,257-1,9741,1746,292N/A
6/30/202236,690-3554,2978,970N/A
3/31/202232,997284,8289,248N/A
12/31/202127,010-3214,8968,340N/A
9/30/202120,536-5094,3166,325N/A
6/30/202115,272-8093,9015,085N/A
3/31/202112,180-9183,2204,129N/A
12/31/20209,457-8062,4653,140N/A
9/30/20205,594-1,982168867N/A
3/31/20201,136-3,034-2,319-1,463N/A
12/31/2019284-3,261-2,747-1,794N/A
9/30/2019N/A-2,702-2,743-1,680N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 2015's forecast earnings growth (24.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 2015's earnings (24.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (11.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 2015's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 2015's revenue (19.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 2015's revenue (19.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 2015's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (19.1%).


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