Stock Analysis

Dongfeng Motor Group (HKG:489) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

SEHK:489
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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. So on that note, Dongfeng Motor Group (HKG:489) looks quite promising in regards to its trends of return on capital.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Dongfeng Motor Group:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.00026 = CN¥49m ÷ (CN¥325b - CN¥142b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).

Therefore, Dongfeng Motor Group has an ROCE of 0.03%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Auto industry average of 4.4%.

See our latest analysis for Dongfeng Motor Group

roce
SEHK:489 Return on Capital Employed January 10th 2022

In the above chart we have measured Dongfeng Motor Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Dongfeng Motor Group here for free.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Dongfeng Motor Group Tell Us?

The fact that Dongfeng Motor Group is now generating some pre-tax profits from its prior investments is very encouraging. About five years ago the company was generating losses but things have turned around because it's now earning 0.03% on its capital. And unsurprisingly, like most companies trying to break into the black, Dongfeng Motor Group is utilizing 70% more capital than it was five years ago. This can tell us that the company has plenty of reinvestment opportunities that are able to generate higher returns.

On a side note, Dongfeng Motor Group's current liabilities are still rather high at 44% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.

The Bottom Line

Overall, Dongfeng Motor Group gets a big tick from us thanks in most part to the fact that it is now profitable and is reinvesting in its business. Considering the stock has delivered 17% to its stockholders over the last five years, it may be fair to think that investors aren't fully aware of the promising trends yet. Given that, we'd look further into this stock in case it has more traits that could make it multiply in the long term.

One more thing to note, we've identified 1 warning sign with Dongfeng Motor Group and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

While Dongfeng Motor Group isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.