Li Auto Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Li Auto is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 23% and 19.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 18.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18.5% in 3 years.
Key information
23.0%
Earnings growth rate
18.1%
EPS growth rate
| Auto earnings growth | 14.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 19.5% |
| Future return on equity | 18.5% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 30 Sep 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 239,383 | 17,701 | 21,844 | 36,058 | 36 |
| 12/31/2025 | 195,960 | 12,420 | 14,919 | 29,068 | 40 |
| 12/31/2024 | 144,591 | 7,194 | 4,200 | 13,436 | 32 |
| 6/30/2024 | 133,724 | 10,176 | 20,955 | 28,029 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 130,698 | 11,367 | 33,064 | 39,571 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 123,851 | 11,704 | 44,186 | 50,694 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 99,769 | 6,303 | 32,806 | 38,325 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 74,432 | 1,839 | 17,622 | 23,310 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 54,512 | -1,072 | 9,531 | 13,327 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 45,287 | -2,012 | 2,252 | 7,380 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 38,257 | -1,974 | 1,174 | 6,292 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 36,690 | -355 | 4,297 | 8,970 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 32,997 | 28 | 4,828 | 9,248 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 27,010 | -321 | 4,896 | 8,340 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 20,536 | -509 | 4,316 | 6,325 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 15,272 | -809 | 3,901 | 5,085 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 12,180 | -918 | 3,220 | 4,129 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 9,457 | -806 | 2,465 | 3,140 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5,594 | -1,982 | 168 | 867 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 1,136 | -3,034 | -2,319 | -1,463 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 284 | -3,261 | -2,747 | -1,794 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | N/A | -2,702 | -2,743 | -1,680 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 2015's forecast earnings growth (23% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).
Earnings vs Market: 2015's earnings (23% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (12% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 2015's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: 2015's revenue (19.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (7.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 2015's revenue (19.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 2015's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18.5%).