Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Biokarpet S.A. (ATH:BIOKA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Biokarpet
What Is Biokarpet's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2021, Biokarpet had €87.6m of debt, up from €76.1m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had €7.56m in cash, and so its net debt is €80.1m.
How Strong Is Biokarpet's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Biokarpet had liabilities of €49.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €79.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €7.56m and €49.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €71.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the €34.1m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Biokarpet would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.8, it's fair to say Biokarpet does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 2.7 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. The silver lining is that Biokarpet grew its EBIT by 385% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Biokarpet will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Biokarpet saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Biokarpet's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Biokarpet to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Biokarpet is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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Access Free AnalysisThis article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ATSE:BIOKA
Biokarpet
Engages in the metallurgy, textile, and information technology sectors in Greece, rest of European union, and internationally.
Slight with mediocre balance sheet.