Stock Analysis

Is Biokarpet (ATH:BIOKA) A Risky Investment?

ATSE:BIOKA
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Biokarpet S.A. (ATH:BIOKA) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Biokarpet

How Much Debt Does Biokarpet Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Biokarpet had €1.93m of debt in June 2024, down from €100.5m, one year before. But it also has €7.15m in cash to offset that, meaning it has €5.23m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ATSE:BIOKA Debt to Equity History October 3rd 2024

How Healthy Is Biokarpet's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Biokarpet had liabilities of €61.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of €98.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €7.15m as well as receivables valued at €63.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €89.2m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €40.3m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Biokarpet would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. Biokarpet boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load, even if it does have very significant liabilities, in total.

Importantly, Biokarpet's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 26% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Biokarpet's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Biokarpet may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Biokarpet saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Summing Up

Although Biokarpet's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €5.23m. However, we do find both Biokarpet's level of total liabilities and its EBIT growth rate troubling. So despite the cash, we do think it carries some risks. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Biokarpet you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Biokarpet might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.