Stock Analysis

Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries' (ATH:MOH) Dividend Will Be Reduced To €0.30

ATSE:MOH
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Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries S.A.'s (ATH:MOH) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to €0.30 on the 3rd of January. The dividend yield of 8.7% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.

See our latest analysis for Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries

Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries' Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. However, prior to this announcement, Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 62.8% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 63%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
ATSE:MOH Historic Dividend November 19th 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was €0.20 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was €1.70. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 24% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's encouraging to see that Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries has been growing its earnings per share at 29% a year over the past five years. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.

Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

In general, we don't like to see the dividend being cut, especially when the company has such high potential like Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries does. The cut will allow the company to continue paying out the dividend without putting the balance sheet under pressure, which means that it could remain sustainable for longer. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about. Is Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.