David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries S.A. (ATH:MOH) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries
What Is Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries's Debt?
As you can see below, Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries had €2.60b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has €1.26b in cash leading to net debt of about €1.34b.
How Strong Is Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries had liabilities of €1.84b due within 12 months and liabilities of €2.96b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €1.26b and €1.09b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €2.45b.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's €2.25b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries's net debt is only 0.93 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 19.4 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also good is that Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries grew its EBIT at 10% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries's free cash flow amounted to 46% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Neither Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries (including 1 which is potentially serious) .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ATSE:MOH
Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries
Motor Oil (Hellas) Corinth Refineries S.A.
Outstanding track record established dividend payer.