AngloGold Ashanti Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of AADS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

AADS (GHS0.41) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (GHS0.84)

Is AADS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AADS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AADS (GHS0.41) is trading below our estimate of fair value (GHS0.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AADS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AADS?

Key metric: As AADS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AADS. This is calculated by dividing AADS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AADS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	18.6x
Earnings	US$562.00m
Market Cap	US$10.44b

AADS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	5.7x
PEG Ratio	0.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AADS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AADS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	25.4x
600489 Zhongjin GoldLtd	17.6x	16.4%	CN¥62.5b
RGLD Royal Gold	33.8x	n/a	US$9.7b
GFI Gold Fields	20x	40.7%	R242.2b
NST Northern Star Resources	30.4x	15.1%	AU$19.4b
AADS AngloGold Ashanti	18.6x	36.5%	GH₵10.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AADS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the peer average (25.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AADS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Metals and Mining Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AADS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the African Metals and Mining industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AADS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AADS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	18.6x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AADS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.