Centrica plc

LSE:CNA Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£9.0b

Centrica Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Centrica is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 26.4% and 1.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 27.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18.7% in 3 years.

Key information

26.4%

Earnings growth rate

27.77%

EPS growth rate

Integrated Utilities earnings growth10.5%
Revenue growth rate1.5%
Future return on equity18.72%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated07 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Apr 27

CNA: Low Carbon Projects And On Site Power Will Shape Balanced Outlook

The analyst price target for Centrica has been raised, with recent Street research pointing to a cluster of higher targets in the £2.00 to £2.32 range, as analysts highlight the company’s positioning in low carbon generation and recent energy market disruption. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mix of optimism and caution around Centrica, with several firms adjusting ratings and price targets in a relatively tight range around £2.00 to £2.32.
Narrative Update • Apr 12

CNA: Low Carbon Projects And On Site Power Partnerships Will Support Fair Outlook

Centrica's analyst price target has edged higher to £2.19 from £2.16, as analysts point to recent price target increases across the Street and see support from disruption in energy markets and the company's positioning in low carbon generation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Centrica shows a mix of optimism on the long term setup and caution on near term execution and valuation, which is reflected in both upgrades and downgrades alongside a cluster of higher price targets.
Narrative Update • Mar 28

CNA: Fair View Sees Low Carbon Projects Offsetting Limited Near Term Triggers

The analyst price target for Centrica has been revised higher to £2.16 per share. The change is supported by recent research pointing to adjusted revenue growth assumptions, a slightly different profit margin outlook, and a higher future P/E multiple as analysts respond to rising price targets and rating changes across several firms.
Narrative Update • Mar 13

CNA: Fair View Balances Low Carbon Upside With Fewer Near Term Catalysts

The analyst price target for Centrica has edged higher to reflect a modest uplift in fair value to £2.05 and a slightly richer future P/E assumption, as analysts balance higher UK low carbon and gas price tailwinds against recent share gains and fewer near term catalysts. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centrica shows a split between bullish and bearish analysts, with several raising price targets while others have turned more cautious after the share price recovery and completion of the buyback.
Narrative Update • Feb 25

CNA: Neutral Stance Will Rely On Execution Against Tight P/E Expectations

Centrica's analyst fair value estimate has edged up to reflect higher price targets in the £2.24 to £2.32 range, with analysts citing adjusted expectations for revenue growth, improved profit margin assumptions, and a lower expected future P/E of 11.4x. Analyst Commentary Recent research has clustered Centrica's price targets in the £2.24 to £2.32 range, with several banks adjusting their numbers in quick succession.
Narrative Update • Feb 10

CNA: Neutral View Will Depend On Execution And Valuation Discipline

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Centrica slightly higher to £1.98 from £1.96, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a modestly higher future P/E, which are consistent with recent upward price target moves from several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from bullish analysts have focused on higher price targets and slightly richer valuation assumptions that they see as better aligned with current market expectations for Centrica.
Narrative Update • Jan 24

CNA: Neutral Stance Will Hinge On Execution And Margin Resilience

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Centrica slightly, now seeing it closer to £1.96 per share. Updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E have led to a more cautious stance, which is reflected in the recent move to a Neutral rating with a £1.85 price target.
Narrative Update • Jan 10

CNA: Energy Transition Execution Will Shape Balanced Future Risk Reward Profile

Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for Centrica from £1.97 to £1.98 per share, reflecting a mix of more cautious and more constructive views after recent rating changes and updated price targets across the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent rating changes on Centrica show a mix of optimism and caution, which helps explain why the fair value move has been incremental rather than dramatic.
Narrative Update • Dec 26

CNA: Energy Transition Execution Will Drive Long Term Earnings Momentum

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Centrica slightly higher to approximately £1.97 from about £1.96. They cite a broadly stable discount rate, marginally stronger revenue growth expectations and modestly higher sector upside that is partly tempered by a more balanced risk reward profile.
Narrative Update • Dec 11

CNA: Cost Cutting Plan Will Support Long Term Earnings Momentum

Analysts have nudged their average price target for Centrica slightly lower to about £1.96. This reflects a modest recalibration of fair value assumptions, even as they highlight potential upside from sector tailwinds, improving renewables exposure, and prospective cost cutting initiatives.
Narrative Update • Nov 27

CNA: Cost Cutting Plan And Renewables Outlook Will Support Long Term Gains

Centrica's analyst price target has been raised slightly to £2.10. Analysts cite further upside potential in European utilities and an improving outlook for renewables as supporting factors.
Analysis Article • Nov 24

Centrica (LON:CNA) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Narrative Update • Nov 13

CNA: Renewables Momentum and Nuclear Developments Will Drive Further Upside Potential

The analyst price target for Centrica has been increased, now ranging from 179 GBp to 210 GBp. Analysts cite expectations of continued earnings momentum, further upside potential in UK utilities, and an improved outlook for renewables. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research on Centrica highlights both optimistic perspectives and ongoing areas of caution regarding the company's growth trajectory and valuation outlook.
Narrative Update • Oct 29

Nuclear Agreements And Renewables Momentum Will Shape Energy Outlook

Analysts have revised their price targets for Centrica higher. New targets have risen from £1.77 to a range as high as £2.10, citing ongoing momentum in UK utilities, an improved outlook for renewables, and potential for future earnings growth.
Analysis Article • Oct 28

An Intrinsic Calculation For Centrica plc (LON:CNA) Suggests It's 21% Undervalued

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Centrica fair value estimate is UK£2.24 Centrica is estimated...
Narrative Update • Oct 15

Sizewell C And Morecambe Net Zero Will Drive Energy Transformation

Centrica's analyst price target has increased from 180 GBp to 210 GBp, as analysts see upside potential driven by improving renewables prospects and cost-cutting initiatives within the UK utility sector. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research on Centrica highlights optimism around the company's future prospects, as well as some areas where caution may be warranted.
Narrative Update • Sep 28

Sizewell C And Morecambe Net Zero Will Drive Energy Transformation

Analysts have raised Centrica’s price target slightly to £1.93, citing its strong positioning among UK utilities, improved earnings momentum, and anticipated cost-cutting efforts, while overall fair value remains nearly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight Centrica as a top pick in UK utilities due to its strong relative positioning.
Narrative Update • Sep 13

Sizewell C And Morecambe Net Zero Will Drive Energy Transformation

Cautious optimism among analysts, grounded in Centrica’s strong past sector outperformance and a balanced risk/reward outlook, has led to a marginal increase in the consensus price target from £1.87 to £1.90. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see modest upside potential, reflected in minor price target increases.
Analysis Article • Aug 16

Here's Why Centrica (LON:CNA) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

LSE:CNA 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Centrica's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Some say...
Analysis Article • Jul 18

Centrica plc's (LON:CNA) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.5x Centrica plc ( LON:CNA ) may be sending very bullish signals at the...
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New Narrative • Feb 23

Investments In Flexible Generation And Technology Will Streamline Operations, But Revenue Decline And Margin Pressures Are Anticipated

Increased customer engagement and service delivery in Services and Solutions could drive revenue growth and improve net margins.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:CNA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (GBP Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202821,2237881819569
12/31/202721,76668312164610
12/31/202621,66762511458810
12/31/202519,492-72141695N/A
9/30/202519,494-158153670N/A
6/30/202519,496-244164645N/A
3/31/202519,705544449897N/A
12/31/202419,9131,3327331,149N/A
9/30/202420,1991,2187371,107N/A
6/30/202420,4841,1047411,065N/A
3/31/202423,4712,5171,5791,909N/A
12/31/202326,4583,9292,4172,752N/A
9/30/202328,2004,0812,8643,193N/A
6/30/202329,9414,2323,3103,634N/A
3/31/202326,8411,7252,1272,474N/A
12/31/202223,741-7829431,314N/A
9/30/202220,941-9018461,266N/A
6/30/202218,141-1,0217491,218N/A
3/31/202216,443-2179701,415N/A
12/31/202114,7445861,1911,611N/A
9/30/202113,7907009341,333N/A
6/30/202112,8358146771,055N/A
3/31/202112,5422707941,228N/A
12/31/202012,249-2749111,400N/A
6/30/20207,758-7591,2861,976N/A
3/31/202010,376-8618901,613N/A
12/31/201912,994-9644931,250N/A
9/30/201922,724-814N/A1,243N/A
6/30/201922,773-605N/A1,235N/A
3/31/201923,039-211N/A1,585N/A
12/31/201823,304183N/A1,934N/A
9/30/201824,570354N/A1,771N/A
6/30/201825,835524N/A1,607N/A
3/31/201826,935426N/A1,724N/A
12/31/201728,035328N/A1,840N/A
9/30/201728,028447N/A1,989N/A
6/30/201728,021566N/A2,137N/A
3/31/201727,5621,119N/A2,267N/A
12/31/201627,1021,672N/A2,396N/A
9/30/201626,501512N/A2,311N/A
6/30/201625,900-649N/A2,225N/A
3/31/201626,936-698N/A2,211N/A
12/31/201527,971-747N/A2,197N/A
9/30/201528,541-621N/A1,850N/A
6/30/201529,111-495N/A1,503N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CNA is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: CNA is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: CNA is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CNA's revenue (1.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the UK market (4.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CNA's revenue (1.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CNA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/08 18:04
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/08 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Centrica plc is covered by 22 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark HivesBarclays
Dominic NashBarclays
Dominic NashBarclays