Xcel Energy Valuation

Is 0M1R undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0M1R when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0M1R ($71.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($72.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0M1R is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0M1R?

Key metric: As 0M1R is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0M1R. This is calculated by dividing 0M1R's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0M1R's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.8x
EarningsUS$1.88b
Market CapUS$40.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0M1R's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0M1R vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.5x
SSE SSE
10.1x5.1%UK£19.2b
NG. National Grid
28.2x15.5%UK£48.6b
JEL Jersey Electricity
11.7x-8.8%UK£131.8m
UU. United Utilities Group
68.2x24.4%UK£7.7b
0M1R Xcel Energy
21.8x10.3%US$41.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0M1R is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the peer average (29.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0M1R's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0M1R 21.8xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies10PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0M1R is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (12.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0M1R's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0M1R PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.8x
Fair PE Ratio16x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0M1R is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0M1R forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$71.54
US$70.63
-1.3%
5.2%US$78.00US$61.00n/a16
Nov ’25US$66.89
US$70.08
+4.8%
5.9%US$77.00US$61.00n/a17
Oct ’25US$65.47
US$66.85
+2.1%
6.4%US$73.00US$57.00n/a17
Sep ’25US$61.01
US$65.52
+7.4%
5.9%US$73.00US$57.00n/a16
Aug ’25US$58.26
US$63.15
+8.4%
6.6%US$72.00US$57.00n/a16
Jul ’25US$52.60
US$62.52
+18.9%
7.1%US$72.00US$57.00n/a16
Jun ’25US$55.29
US$62.71
+13.4%
7.1%US$72.00US$57.00n/a16
May ’25US$53.80
US$62.43
+16.0%
7.3%US$72.00US$57.00n/a16
Apr ’25US$53.72
US$62.33
+16.0%
9.3%US$71.00US$54.00n/a15
Mar ’25US$49.21
US$65.43
+33.0%
7.1%US$75.00US$59.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$60.96
US$65.79
+7.9%
6.5%US$75.00US$61.00n/a14
Jan ’25US$61.52
US$64.57
+5.0%
6.8%US$74.00US$58.00n/a14
Dec ’24US$61.30
US$63.86
+4.2%
7.5%US$74.00US$58.00n/a14
Nov ’24US$60.64
US$63.43
+4.6%
7.7%US$74.00US$58.00US$66.8914
Oct ’24US$57.45
US$65.50
+14.0%
8.0%US$74.00US$58.00US$65.4714
Sep ’24US$56.41
US$66.71
+18.3%
8.5%US$76.00US$59.00US$61.0114
Aug ’24US$62.88
US$69.00
+9.7%
6.3%US$76.00US$59.00US$58.2613
Jul ’24US$61.43
US$69.23
+12.7%
7.3%US$78.00US$59.00US$52.6013
Jun ’24US$63.68
US$72.00
+13.1%
7.4%US$79.00US$60.00US$55.2913
May ’24US$70.25
US$72.85
+3.7%
6.5%US$79.00US$60.00US$53.8013
Apr ’24US$67.05
US$71.62
+6.8%
7.2%US$78.00US$59.00US$53.7213
Mar ’24US$63.39
US$72.79
+14.8%
6.7%US$79.00US$59.00US$49.2114
Feb ’24US$68.61
US$72.93
+6.3%
6.4%US$79.00US$59.00US$60.9614
Jan ’24US$70.37
US$70.50
+0.2%
7.3%US$79.00US$59.00US$61.5214
Dec ’23US$70.90
US$68.87
-2.9%
6.8%US$77.00US$58.00US$61.3015
Nov ’23US$65.64
US$67.60
+3.0%
7.9%US$77.00US$58.00US$60.6415

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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