Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into Good Energy Group PLC (LON:GOOD) Stock Yet As It Plummets 25%

AIM:GOOD
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Good Energy Group PLC (LON:GOOD) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 10.0% over the last twelve months.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Good Energy Group's P/E ratio of 15.3x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in the United Kingdom is also close to 16x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Good Energy Group as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the market. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Good Energy Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:GOOD Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 21st 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Good Energy Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Growth For Good Energy Group?

Good Energy Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 69%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 1,676% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 59% each year during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 14% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Good Energy Group is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Good Energy Group looks quite average now. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Good Energy Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Good Energy Group (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.