LSE:SGC

Stock Analysis Report

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Executive Summary

Stagecoach Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides public transportation services in the United Kingdom. More Details


Snowflake Analysis

High growth potential and slightly overvalued.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Stagecoach Group's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: SGC is more volatile than 75% of UK stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 12% a week.

Volatility Over Time: SGC's weekly volatility (12%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of UK stocks.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

-1.9%

SGC

0.05%

GB Transportation

-0.1%

GB Market


1 Year Return

-48.2%

SGC

-32.5%

GB Transportation

-7.7%

GB Market

Return vs Industry: SGC underperformed the UK Transportation industry which returned -32.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: SGC underperformed the UK Market which returned -7.7% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

SGCIndustryMarket
7 Day-1.9%0.05%-0.1%
30 Day-1.2%6.4%4.1%
90 Day81.4%31.9%14.7%
1 Year-48.2%-48.2%-30.2%-32.5%-4.0%-7.7%
3 Year-46.0%-51.3%-24.6%-33.5%4.2%-8.5%
5 Year-65.1%-72.6%12.0%-5.2%43.0%15.1%

Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Stagecoach Group's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Stagecoach Group undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

25.8%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: SGC (£0.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£1.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SGC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: SGC is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the XE Transportation industry average.

PE vs Market: SGC is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the UK market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SGC's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: SGC has negative assets, so we can't compare its PB Ratio to the GB Transportation industry average.


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Stagecoach Group forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 9 analysts?

55.5%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SGC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: SGC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: SGC's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SGC's revenue (7.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (6.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SGC's revenue (7.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SGC's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (125.1%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Stagecoach Group performed over the past 5 years?

-19.1%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: SGC is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: SGC is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: SGC is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 19.1% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare SGC's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: SGC is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Transportation industry (-23.2%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: SGC's liabilities exceed its assets, so it is difficult to calculate its Return on Equity.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Stagecoach Group's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: SGC has negative shareholder equity, which is a more serious situation than short term assets not covering short term liabilities.

Long Term Liabilities: SGC has negative shareholder equity, which is a more serious situation than short term assets not covering long term liabilities.


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: SGC has negative shareholder equity, which is a more serious situation than a high debt level.

Reducing Debt: SGC's has negative shareholder equity, so we do not need to check if its debt has reduced over time.

Debt Coverage: SGC's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (26.6%).

Interest Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if SGC's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT.


Balance Sheet


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Stagecoach Group current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

3.53%

Forecast Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate SGC's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate SGC's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if SGC's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if SGC's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: SGC is not paying a notable dividend for the UK market.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of SGC's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the UK market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

7.7yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Martin Griffiths (54 yo)

7.67yrs

Tenure

UK£949,000

Compensation

Mr. Martin Andrew Griffiths, L.L.B. (Hons), C.A., has been the Chief Executive of Stagecoach Group Plc since May 1, 2013. Mr. Griffiths has been an Executive Director at Stagecoach Group Plc since 2000. He...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Martin's total compensation ($USD1.30M) is above average for companies of similar size in the UK market ($USD814.91K).

Compensation vs Earnings: Martin's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Martin Griffiths
CEO & Executive Director7.67yrsUK£949.00k0.13%
£ 528.4k
Ross Paterson
Finance Director & Executive Director7.67yrsUK£644.00k0.072%
£ 302.1k
Steven Stewart
Director of Corporate Communicationsno datano datano data
Tim Shoveller
Managing Director of The UK Rail Division14yrsno datano data
David Horne
Managing Director of Virgin Trains East Coastno datano datano data
Edward Hodgson
Managing Director of Stagecoach South9.08yrsno datano data
Dale Moser
Chairman of North America Business5.25yrsno datano data
Jake Kelly
Managing Director of East Midlands Trainsno datano datano data
Bob Dennison
Managing Director of South West5.5yrsno datano data
Matthew Cranwell
Managing Director of Cumbria & North Lancashire Bus Operations5.33yrsno datano data
Nigel Winter
Managing Director of South Wales10yrsno datano data
Matt Davies
Managing Director of Stagecoach Yorkshire4.5yrsno datano data

7.7yrs

Average Tenure

46.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: SGC's management team is seasoned and experienced (7.7 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Martin Griffiths
CEO & Executive Director7.67yrsUK£949.00k0.13%
£ 528.4k
Ross Paterson
Finance Director & Executive Director7.67yrsUK£644.00k0.072%
£ 302.1k
Brian Souter
Non-Executive Director1yrUK£163.00k15.77%
£ 66.2m
Karen Thomson
Independent Non-Executive Director4.83yrsUK£58.00k0.0020%
£ 8.4k
Gregor Alexander
Senior Independent Director0.50yrUK£58.00k0.0019%
£ 7.9k
Raymond O'Toole
Independent Chairman1yrUK£99.00k0.0011%
£ 4.6k
James Bilefield
Independent Non-Executive Director4.92yrsUK£58.00kno data
Lynne Weedall
Non-Executive Director0.42yrno data0.0022%
£ 9.2k

2.9yrs

Average Tenure

55.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: SGC's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.9 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: SGC insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Stagecoach Group plc's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Stagecoach Group plc
  • Ticker: SGC
  • Exchange: LSE
  • Founded: 1980
  • Industry: Trucking
  • Sector: Transportation
  • Market Cap: UK£419.760m
  • Shares outstanding: 550.87m
  • Website: https://www.stagecoachgroup.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Stagecoach Group plc
  • 10 Dunkeld Road
  • Perth
  • Perthshire
  • PH1 5TW
  • United Kingdom

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
SAGK.FOTCPK (Pink Sheets LLC)YesOrdinary SharesUSUSDApr 1993
SGCLSE (London Stock Exchange)YesOrdinary SharesGBGBPApr 1993
SHP5DB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesOrdinary SharesDEEURApr 1993
SGCLBATS-CHIXE (BATS 'Chi-X Europe')YesOrdinary SharesGBGBPApr 1993

Biography

Stagecoach Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides public transportation services in the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: UK Bus (Regional Operations), UK Bus (London), and U...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/01/22 01:50
End of Day Share Price2021/01/21 00:00
Earnings2020/10/31
Annual Earnings2020/05/02


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.