Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Think Redde Northgate (LON:REDD) Is Well Worth Watching

LSE:ZIG
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Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Redde Northgate (LON:REDD). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Redde Northgate with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Redde Northgate

Redde Northgate's Improving Profits

Even modest earnings per share growth (EPS) can create meaningful value, when it is sustained reliably from year to year. So it's easy to see why many investors focus in on EPS growth. Redde Northgate's EPS shot up from UK£0.27 to UK£0.43; a result that's bound to keep shareholders happy. That's a fantastic gain of 62%.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. Not all of Redde Northgate's revenue this year is revenue from operations, so keep in mind the revenue and margin numbers used in this article might not be the best representation of the underlying business. Redde Northgate shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 7.7% to 12%, and revenue is growing. Both of which are great metrics to check off for potential growth.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
LSE:REDD Earnings and Revenue History August 23rd 2022

The trick, as an investor, is to find companies that are going to perform well in the future, not just in the past. While crystal balls don't exist, you can check our visualization of consensus analyst forecasts for Redde Northgate's future EPS 100% free.

Are Redde Northgate Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It should give investors a sense of security owning shares in a company if insiders also own shares, creating a close alignment their interests. Redde Northgate followers will find comfort in knowing that insiders have a significant amount of capital that aligns their best interests with the wider shareholder group. To be specific, they have UK£39m worth of shares. That's a lot of money, and no small incentive to work hard. Despite being just 4.7% of the company, the value of that investment is enough to show insiders have plenty riding on the venture.

Is Redde Northgate Worth Keeping An Eye On?

For growth investors, Redde Northgate's raw rate of earnings growth is a beacon in the night. This EPS growth rate is something the company should be proud of, and so it's no surprise that insiders are holding on to a considerable chunk of shares. Fast growth and confident insiders should be enough to warrant further research, so it would seem that it's a good stock to follow. We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Redde Northgate (1 is concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

Although Redde Northgate certainly looks good, it may appeal to more investors if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see insider buying, then this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying, could be exactly what you're looking for.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.