Stock Analysis

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About International Consolidated Airlines Group's (LON:IAG) Returns On Capital

LSE:IAG
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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at International Consolidated Airlines Group (LON:IAG) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for International Consolidated Airlines Group, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.03 = €685m ÷ (€40b - €17b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

Thus, International Consolidated Airlines Group has an ROCE of 3.0%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Airlines industry average of 11%.

Check out our latest analysis for International Consolidated Airlines Group

roce
LSE:IAG Return on Capital Employed December 8th 2022

Above you can see how the current ROCE for International Consolidated Airlines Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for International Consolidated Airlines Group.

What Does the ROCE Trend For International Consolidated Airlines Group Tell Us?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at International Consolidated Airlines Group doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 3.0% from 19% five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

Another thing to note, International Consolidated Airlines Group has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 43%. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

The Key Takeaway

While returns have fallen for International Consolidated Airlines Group in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 64% in the last five years. So we think it'd be worthwhile to look further into this stock given the trends look encouraging.

International Consolidated Airlines Group could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation on our platform quite valuable.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.