James Fisher and Sons plc

LSE:FSJ Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£147.0m

James Fisher and Sons Valuation

Is FSJ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FSJ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FSJ (£2.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£7.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FSJ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FSJ?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FSJ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.7x
PEG Ratio1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FSJ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FSJ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.8x
OCN Ocean Wilsons Holdings
8.7x5.4%UK£468.6m
DX. DX (Group)
13.5x6.7%UK£306.8m
1719 China Infrastructure & Logistics Group
93.2xn/aHK$1.4b
VENTANAS Puerto Ventanas
8xn/aCL$167.2b
FSJ James Fisher and Sons
73.5x65.4%UK£147.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FSJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (73.5x) compared to the peer average (30.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FSJ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Infrastructure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FSJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (73.5x) compared to the European Infrastructure industry average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FSJ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FSJ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio73.5x
Fair PE Ratio28.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FSJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (73.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FSJ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£2.92
UK£4.65
+59.2%
19.4%UK£5.55UK£3.75n/a2
Apr ’25UK£2.61
UK£4.43
+69.9%
18.0%UK£5.55UK£3.75n/a3
Mar ’25UK£2.60
UK£4.43
+70.5%
18.0%UK£5.55UK£3.75n/a3
Feb ’25UK£3.39
UK£4.80
+41.8%
15.5%UK£5.85UK£4.25n/a3
Jan ’25UK£3.08
UK£4.80
+55.8%
15.5%UK£5.85UK£4.25n/a3
Dec ’24UK£2.84
UK£4.80
+69.3%
15.5%UK£5.85UK£4.25n/a3
Nov ’24UK£3.00
UK£5.22
+74.2%
12.7%UK£5.85UK£4.30n/a3
Oct ’24UK£3.28
UK£5.22
+59.0%
12.7%UK£5.85UK£4.30n/a3
Sep ’24UK£3.32
UK£5.42
+63.2%
16.2%UK£6.45UK£4.30n/a3
Aug ’24UK£4.12
UK£5.42
+31.5%
16.2%UK£6.45UK£4.30n/a3
Jul ’24UK£4.01
UK£5.42
+35.1%
16.2%UK£6.45UK£4.30n/a3
Jun ’24UK£3.70
UK£4.90
+32.4%
12.2%UK£5.50UK£4.30n/a2
May ’24UK£3.25
UK£4.75
+46.2%
15.8%UK£5.50UK£4.00n/a2
Apr ’24UK£2.90
UK£5.80
+100.0%
27.7%UK£7.90UK£4.00UK£2.613
Mar ’24UK£4.01
UK£5.80
+44.6%
27.7%UK£7.90UK£4.00UK£2.603
Feb ’24UK£3.48
UK£5.80
+66.7%
27.7%UK£7.90UK£4.00UK£3.393
Jan ’24UK£3.91
UK£5.80
+48.5%
27.7%UK£7.90UK£4.00UK£3.083
Dec ’23UK£3.41
UK£5.80
+70.1%
27.7%UK£7.90UK£4.00UK£2.843
Nov ’23UK£2.72
UK£5.80
+113.2%
27.7%UK£7.90UK£4.00UK£3.003
Oct ’23UK£2.82
UK£5.80
+105.7%
27.7%UK£7.90UK£4.00UK£3.283
Sep ’23UK£3.15
UK£6.15
+95.5%
14.6%UK£7.20UK£5.00UK£3.323
Aug ’23UK£3.10
UK£6.15
+98.7%
14.6%UK£7.20UK£5.00UK£4.123
Jul ’23UK£3.02
UK£6.08
+101.5%
13.0%UK£7.20UK£5.00UK£4.014
Jun ’23UK£3.63
UK£6.08
+67.4%
13.0%UK£7.20UK£5.00UK£3.704
May ’23UK£3.94
UK£6.08
+54.4%
13.0%UK£7.20UK£5.00UK£3.254
Apr ’23UK£3.49
UK£6.08
+74.1%
13.0%UK£7.20UK£5.00UK£2.904

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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