Ryanair Holdings plc

LSE:0RYA Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£17.3b

Ryanair Holdings Valuation

Is 0RYA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0RYA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0RYA (£16) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£16.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0RYA is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0RYA?

Key metric: As 0RYA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0RYA. This is calculated by dividing 0RYA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0RYA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.7x
Earnings€1.53b
Market Cap€20.90b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0RYA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0RYA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.2x
IAG International Consolidated Airlines Group
6.2x5.6%UK£14.7b
EZJ easyJet
9.5x9.5%UK£4.3b
JET2 Jet2
6.8x-0.3%UK£3.4b
WIZZ Wizz Air Holdings
6.2x18.3%UK£1.5b
0RYA Ryanair Holdings
13.7x10.9%UK£20.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0RYA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the peer average (7.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0RYA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0RYA 13.7xIndustry Avg. 9.5xNo. of Companies9PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0RYA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (9.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0RYA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0RYA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.7x
Fair PE Ratio17.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0RYA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0RYA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£16.00
UK£17.41
+8.8%
14.7%UK£21.63UK£10.30n/a21
Dec ’25UK£15.34
UK£17.05
+11.2%
14.7%UK£21.74UK£10.35n/a21
Nov ’25UK£14.57
UK£16.58
+13.8%
16.5%UK£21.82UK£10.39n/a21
Oct ’25UK£13.82
UK£16.36
+18.3%
17.8%UK£21.88UK£10.42n/a20
Sep ’25UK£13.10
UK£16.12
+23.1%
18.0%UK£22.08UK£10.52n/a19
Aug ’25UK£12.00
UK£15.94
+32.8%
18.7%UK£22.11UK£10.53n/a19
Jul ’25UK£14.21
UK£20.62
+45.1%
11.6%UK£25.42UK£15.68n/a19
Jun ’25UK£15.25
UK£21.39
+40.3%
8.7%UK£25.55UK£18.48n/a19
May ’25UK£17.52
UK£22.53
+28.6%
9.1%UK£25.71UK£18.59n/a19
Apr ’25UK£18.03
UK£22.08
+22.5%
9.5%UK£25.67UK£18.57n/a19
Mar ’25UK£17.08
UK£21.99
+28.7%
9.3%UK£25.66UK£18.56n/a19
Feb ’25UK£16.70
UK£21.47
+28.6%
8.4%UK£25.62UK£18.53n/a19
Jan ’25UK£16.55
UK£20.73
+25.2%
7.5%UK£25.02UK£18.72n/a18
Dec ’24UK£15.40
UK£20.73
+34.6%
6.7%UK£23.73UK£18.36UK£15.3419
Nov ’24UK£12.49
UK£20.02
+60.3%
7.5%UK£23.57UK£17.36UK£14.5719
Oct ’24UK£13.64
UK£19.94
+46.2%
7.6%UK£23.51UK£17.32UK£13.8219
Sep ’24UK£13.79
UK£19.78
+43.5%
7.9%UK£23.26UK£17.14UK£13.1019
Aug ’24UK£13.56
UK£19.78
+45.9%
7.9%UK£23.26UK£17.14UK£12.0019
Jul ’24UK£14.69
UK£19.22
+30.8%
9.3%UK£23.39UK£15.51UK£14.2119
Jun ’24UK£14.37
UK£19.22
+33.8%
9.9%UK£23.58UK£15.63UK£15.2518
May ’24UK£13.00
UK£17.58
+35.2%
12.8%UK£24.02UK£15.04UK£17.5217
Apr ’24UK£12.80
UK£16.87
+31.9%
17.5%UK£23.87UK£8.79UK£18.0317
Mar ’24UK£13.33
UK£17.23
+29.2%
17.4%UK£24.10UK£8.88UK£17.0818
Feb ’24UK£13.10
UK£16.80
+28.2%
15.1%UK£20.06UK£8.88UK£16.7017
Jan ’24UK£11.20
UK£14.96
+33.6%
16.3%UK£18.56UK£8.72UK£16.5516
Dec ’23UK£11.15
UK£14.89
+33.6%
16.2%UK£18.79UK£8.82UK£15.4016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 17:46
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ryanair Holdings plc is covered by 60 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hélène CoumesAlphaValue
Bob McAdooAvondale Partners
Andrew LobbenbergBarclays