XPO, Inc.

LSE:0M1O Stock Report

Market Cap: US$17.4b

XPO Valuation

Is 0M1O undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0M1O when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0M1O ($151.18) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($206.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0M1O is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0M1O?

Key metric: As 0M1O is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0M1O. This is calculated by dividing 0M1O's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0M1O's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio47.1x
EarningsUS$370.00m
Market CapUS$17.42b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0M1O's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0M1O vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.7x
IAG International Consolidated Airlines Group
5.1x2.6%UK£12.1b
IDS International Distribution Services
13.2x28.9%UK£3.3b
JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services
32.2x16.1%US$18.3b
UHAL U-Haul Holding
28.3xn/aUS$12.0b
0M1O XPO
47.1x18.3%US$17.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0M1O is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.1x) compared to the peer average (19.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0M1O's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0M1O 47.1xIndustry Avg. 11.1xNo. of Companies5PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0M1O is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.1x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (11.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0M1O's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0M1O PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio47.1x
Fair PE Ratio18.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0M1O is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0M1O forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$151.18
US$146.36
-3.2%
16.8%US$179.00US$85.00n/a22
Nov ’25US$130.31
US$141.86
+8.9%
14.6%US$162.00US$85.00n/a22
Oct ’25US$106.46
US$129.48
+21.6%
14.0%US$160.00US$82.00n/a23
Sep ’25US$111.60
US$130.65
+17.1%
13.5%US$150.00US$82.00n/a23
Aug ’25US$115.29
US$129.19
+12.1%
14.5%US$147.00US$82.00n/a21
Jul ’25US$104.20
US$129.48
+24.3%
14.1%US$150.00US$82.00n/a23
Jun ’25US$105.27
US$132.09
+25.5%
14.9%US$160.00US$82.00n/a22
May ’25US$107.18
US$131.57
+22.8%
15.4%US$155.00US$80.00n/a21
Apr ’25US$121.40
US$126.20
+4.0%
16.6%US$155.00US$75.00n/a20
Mar ’25US$121.43
US$123.57
+1.8%
15.1%US$145.00US$75.00n/a21
Feb ’25US$85.77
US$95.09
+10.9%
11.2%US$110.00US$61.00n/a22
Jan ’25US$87.97
US$90.76
+3.2%
13.5%US$107.00US$59.00n/a21
Dec ’24US$90.34
US$87.50
-3.1%
13.7%US$105.00US$54.00n/a22
Nov ’24US$76.62
US$87.05
+13.6%
13.4%US$105.00US$54.00US$130.3122
Oct ’24US$75.66
US$76.29
+0.8%
13.1%US$88.00US$48.00US$106.4621
Sep ’24US$76.31
US$75.65
-0.9%
12.6%US$88.00US$46.00US$111.6023
Aug ’24US$69.49
US$62.48
-10.1%
14.9%US$81.00US$44.00US$115.2923
Jul ’24US$57.94
US$53.64
-7.4%
12.1%US$68.00US$40.00US$104.2022
Jun ’24US$47.62
US$50.45
+6.0%
9.8%US$60.00US$40.00US$105.2722
May ’24US$44.63
US$43.38
-2.8%
12.9%US$53.00US$33.00US$107.1821
Apr ’24US$31.87
US$42.25
+32.6%
10.3%US$53.00US$35.00US$121.4020
Mar ’24US$33.76
US$42.62
+26.2%
10.7%US$53.00US$35.00US$121.4321
Feb ’24US$42.40
US$48.32
+14.0%
26.3%US$96.00US$35.00US$85.7722
Jan ’24n/a
US$51.43
0%
30.1%US$96.00US$35.00US$87.9721
Dec ’23US$37.13
US$60.10
+61.9%
26.4%US$96.00US$40.00US$90.3421
Nov ’23US$32.48
US$68.38
+110.5%
19.9%US$96.00US$40.00US$76.6221

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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