Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

LSE:0A7P Stock Report

Market Cap: US$38.7b

Old Dominion Freight Line Valuation

Is 0A7P undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0A7P when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0A7P ($181.08) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($155.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0A7P is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0A7P?

Key metric: As 0A7P is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0A7P. This is calculated by dividing 0A7P's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0A7P's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.1x
EarningsUS$1.25b
Market CapUS$38.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0A7P's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0A7P vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.2x
IAG International Consolidated Airlines Group
6.3x5.6%UK£14.9b
IDS International Distribution Services
13.8x27.2%UK£3.5b
XPO XPO
42.5x18.4%US$15.7b
JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services
30.2x16.2%US$17.2b
0A7P Old Dominion Freight Line
31.1x8.6%US$38.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0A7P is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.1x) compared to the peer average (23.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0A7P's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0A7P 31.1xIndustry Avg. 12.0xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0A7P is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.1x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (12x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0A7P's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0A7P PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.1x
Fair PE Ratio18x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0A7P is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0A7P forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$181.08
US$203.91
+12.6%
12.1%US$241.00US$155.00n/a21
Dec ’25US$225.14
US$197.82
-12.1%
12.7%US$241.00US$155.00n/a21
Nov ’25US$202.43
US$190.34
-6.0%
9.1%US$218.00US$155.00n/a21
Oct ’25US$195.74
US$195.46
-0.1%
10.4%US$228.00US$155.00n/a21
Sep ’25US$190.51
US$196.80
+3.3%
10.0%US$228.00US$155.00n/a21
Aug ’25US$203.15
US$196.80
-3.1%
10.0%US$228.00US$155.00n/a21
Jul ’25US$178.28
US$195.94
+9.9%
10.0%US$235.00US$152.00n/a21
Jun ’25US$173.50
US$206.30
+18.9%
10.5%US$245.00US$152.00n/a19
May ’25US$183.60
US$207.03
+12.8%
10.7%US$245.00US$152.00n/a20
Apr ’25US$220.12
US$204.69
-7.0%
11.5%US$257.50US$147.00n/a18
Mar ’25US$223.02
US$202.72
-9.1%
12.0%US$257.50US$147.00n/a18
Feb ’25US$193.20
US$201.55
+4.3%
12.1%US$245.00US$141.00n/a19
Jan ’25US$202.56
US$197.87
-2.3%
10.1%US$223.50US$141.00n/a19
Dec ’24US$202.35
US$202.03
-0.2%
10.6%US$245.00US$141.00US$225.1420
Nov ’24US$192.46
US$203.05
+5.5%
11.6%US$245.00US$137.50US$202.4320
Oct ’24US$204.93
US$204.18
-0.4%
13.6%US$237.50US$137.50US$195.7420
Sep ’24US$216.00
US$202.52
-6.2%
13.7%US$237.50US$131.50US$190.5121
Aug ’24US$208.40
US$202.19
-3.0%
13.8%US$237.50US$131.50US$203.1521
Jul ’24US$181.62
US$162.32
-10.6%
11.5%US$195.50US$112.00US$178.2819
Jun ’24US$156.32
US$160.08
+2.4%
10.5%US$192.50US$111.50US$173.5019
May ’24US$161.64
US$162.97
+0.8%
10.2%US$192.50US$111.50US$183.6018
Apr ’24US$168.10
US$174.21
+3.6%
12.9%US$202.50US$108.50US$220.1217
Mar ’24US$171.15
US$176.36
+3.0%
13.7%US$212.50US$108.50US$223.0218
Feb ’24US$181.67
US$160.00
-11.9%
17.2%US$200.00US$100.50US$193.2017
Jan ’24US$142.57
US$139.97
-1.8%
9.8%US$162.50US$100.50US$202.5617
Dec ’23US$149.37
US$142.22
-4.8%
11.0%US$170.00US$100.50US$202.3518

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 12:02
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is covered by 41 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Garrett HollandBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research