International Distributions Services plc

BATS-CHIXE:IDSL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£3.2b

International Distributions Services Valuation

Is IDSL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IDSL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IDSL (£3.36) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£2.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IDSL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IDSL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

IDSL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.5x
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IDSL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IDSL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.7x
WIN Wincanton
28.8x15.2%UK£747.6m
DX. DX (Group)
13.5x6.7%UK£306.8m
CKN Clarkson
15.1x-0.4%UK£1.3b
EZJ easyJet
9.3x14.2%UK£3.5b
IDSL International Distributions Services
59.6x71.6%UK£3.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IDSL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (59.6x) compared to the peer average (16.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IDSL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IDSL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (59.6x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (15.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IDSL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IDSL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio59.6x
Fair PE Ratio60.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: IDSL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (59.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IDSL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£3.36
UK£2.82
-16.0%
13.1%UK£3.25UK£2.00n/a8
May ’25UK£2.75
UK£2.80
+1.7%
15.3%UK£3.25UK£1.80n/a8
Apr ’25UK£2.30
UK£2.93
+27.3%
25.3%UK£4.55UK£1.60n/a12
Mar ’25UK£2.42
UK£2.93
+21.0%
24.6%UK£4.50UK£1.60n/a13
Feb ’25UK£2.72
UK£2.93
+7.6%
24.6%UK£4.50UK£1.60n/a13
Jan ’25UK£2.73
UK£2.79
+2.0%
19.8%UK£3.69UK£1.60n/a13
Dec ’24UK£2.50
UK£2.74
+9.5%
19.3%UK£3.69UK£1.60n/a13
Nov ’24UK£2.52
UK£2.78
+10.0%
19.7%UK£3.69UK£1.60n/a13
Oct ’24UK£2.62
UK£2.82
+7.8%
21.9%UK£4.10UK£1.60n/a13
Sep ’24UK£2.42
UK£2.75
+13.4%
23.0%UK£4.10UK£1.60n/a13
Aug ’24UK£2.67
UK£2.75
+3.0%
23.0%UK£4.10UK£1.60n/a13
Jul ’24UK£2.21
UK£2.54
+14.8%
26.5%UK£4.10UK£1.60n/a13
Jun ’24UK£1.97
UK£2.54
+29.1%
26.5%UK£4.10UK£1.60UK£3.3613
May ’24UK£2.52
UK£2.56
+1.3%
28.1%UK£4.10UK£1.35UK£2.7513
Apr ’24UK£2.25
UK£2.56
+13.6%
28.1%UK£4.10UK£1.35UK£2.3013
Mar ’24UK£2.33
UK£2.54
+9.0%
29.0%UK£4.10UK£1.35UK£2.4213
Feb ’24UK£2.30
UK£2.53
+10.1%
28.6%UK£4.10UK£1.35UK£2.7213
Jan ’24UK£2.14
UK£2.61
+22.0%
31.2%UK£4.10UK£1.15UK£2.7314
Dec ’23UK£2.32
UK£2.96
+27.9%
40.4%UK£5.20UK£1.15UK£2.5014
Nov ’23UK£2.07
UK£2.96
+42.9%
47.1%UK£5.20UK£1.15UK£2.5213
Oct ’23UK£1.84
UK£3.38
+84.1%
34.8%UK£5.20UK£1.44UK£2.6213
Sep ’23UK£2.54
UK£3.57
+40.4%
28.3%UK£5.20UK£1.85UK£2.4213
Aug ’23UK£2.84
UK£3.60
+26.7%
26.8%UK£5.20UK£2.05UK£2.6713
Jul ’23UK£2.70
UK£4.40
+62.8%
35.8%UK£7.10UK£2.05UK£2.2113
Jun ’23UK£3.03
UK£4.88
+61.0%
29.6%UK£7.10UK£2.40UK£1.9713

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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