Orange Valuation

Is ORAP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ORAP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ORAP (€9.81) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€28.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ORAP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORAP?

Key metric: As ORAP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ORAP. This is calculated by dividing ORAP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ORAP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.8x
Earnings€2.04b
Market Cap€26.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ORAP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ORAP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.3x
BT.A BT Group
18.2x14.7%UK£13.9b
VOD Vodafone Group
9.2x4.2%UK£18.1b
2412 Chunghwa Telecom
26x3.1%NT$950.3b
TLS Telstra Group
27.7x10.4%AU$44.9b
ORAP Orange
12.8x13.6%€26.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ORAP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the peer average (20.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ORAP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ORAP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORAP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORAP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ORAP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ORAP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.81
€13.07
+33.3%
13.5%€15.50€8.00n/a20
Nov ’25€10.10
€13.07
+29.4%
13.5%€15.50€8.00n/a20
Oct ’25€10.44
€12.91
+23.7%
12.7%€15.50€8.00n/a21
Sep ’25€10.45
€12.96
+24.1%
13.2%€16.00€8.00n/a21
Aug ’25€10.27
€12.96
+26.3%
13.2%€16.00€8.00n/a21
Jul ’25€9.32
€13.05
+39.9%
12.9%€16.00€8.00n/a20
Jun ’25€10.61
€13.13
+23.7%
12.3%€15.50€8.00n/a20
May ’25€10.44
€13.18
+26.3%
12.7%€15.50€8.00n/a19
Apr ’25€10.65
€13.09
+22.9%
12.6%€15.50€8.00n/a18
Mar ’25€10.72
€13.06
+21.8%
12.6%€15.50€8.00n/a18
Feb ’25n/a
€12.96
0%
12.7%€15.50€8.00n/a18
Jan ’25n/a
€12.80
0%
12.7%€15.50€8.00n/a20
Dec ’24€11.30
€12.75
+12.9%
12.6%€15.50€8.00n/a20
Nov ’24€11.17
€12.74
+14.0%
12.7%€15.50€8.00€10.1020
Oct ’24n/a
€12.62
0%
15.2%€16.00€8.00€10.4420
Sep ’24n/a
€12.70
0%
15.7%€16.00€8.00€10.4518
Aug ’24€10.50
€12.70
+20.9%
15.7%€16.00€8.00€10.2718
Jul ’24€10.73
€12.69
+18.3%
15.2%€15.50€8.00€9.3218
Jun ’24€11.20
€12.62
+12.7%
15.1%€15.50€8.00€10.6119
May ’24€11.75
€12.45
+6.0%
15.5%€15.50€8.00€10.4419
Apr ’24€11.00
€12.10
+10.0%
16.9%€15.50€8.00€10.6519
Mar ’24€10.80
€12.12
+12.2%
16.2%€15.50€8.00€10.7220
Feb ’24€9.72
€12.12
+24.6%
17.3%€16.00€8.00n/a21
Jan ’24€9.30
€12.18
+31.0%
16.9%€16.00€8.00n/a21
Dec ’23€9.72
€12.15
+24.9%
16.6%€16.00€8.00€11.3021
Nov ’23€9.71
€12.01
+23.7%
18.8%€16.00€7.44€11.1721

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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