Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

LSE:0HGV Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.8b

Applied Optoelectronics Valuation

Is 0HGV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0HGV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0HGV ($39.87) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($104.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0HGV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0HGV?

Key metric: As 0HGV is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0HGV. This is calculated by dividing 0HGV's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0HGV's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio8.6x
SalesUS$209.55m
Market CapUS$1.80b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0HGV's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0HGV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.6x
SPT Spirent Communications
2.9x5.6%UK£1.0b
FTC Filtronic
6.6x21.7%UK£168.6m
BVC BATM Advanced Communications
0.8x12.5%UK£79.8m
SRT SRT Marine Systems
7.9xn/aUK£93.5m
0HGV Applied Optoelectronics
8.6x53.6%US$1.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0HGV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.6x) compared to the peer average (4.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0HGV's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Communications Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0HGV 8.6xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies10PS012345+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0HGV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.6x) compared to the European Communications industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0HGV's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0HGV PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8.6x
Fair PS Ratio6.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0HGV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0HGV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$39.87
US$34.25
-14.1%
34.6%US$44.00US$14.00n/a4
Dec ’25US$41.17
US$22.38
-45.7%
22.8%US$27.50US$14.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$16.60
US$16.00
-3.6%
26.1%US$20.00US$9.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$13.47
US$16.00
+18.8%
26.1%US$20.00US$9.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$10.98
US$14.00
+27.5%
26.7%US$18.00US$9.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$8.65
US$15.33
+77.3%
16.3%US$18.00US$12.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$8.04
US$15.33
+90.7%
16.3%US$18.00US$12.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$10.60
US$15.33
+44.6%
16.3%US$18.00US$12.00n/a3
May ’25US$9.84
US$18.00
+82.9%
9.1%US$20.00US$16.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$13.86
US$18.00
+29.9%
9.1%US$20.00US$16.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$15.44
US$18.00
+16.6%
9.1%US$20.00US$16.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$16.72
US$21.67
+29.6%
5.8%US$23.00US$20.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$18.88
US$21.00
+11.3%
4.8%US$22.00US$20.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$15.99
US$16.75
+4.8%
19.4%US$20.00US$13.50US$41.172
Nov ’24US$7.45
US$15.75
+111.4%
27.0%US$20.00US$11.50US$16.602
Oct ’24US$10.87
US$15.75
+44.9%
27.0%US$20.00US$11.50US$13.472
Sep ’24US$13.71
US$15.75
+14.9%
27.0%US$20.00US$11.50US$10.982
Aug ’24US$7.09
US$6.25
-11.8%
60.0%US$10.00US$2.50US$8.652
Jul ’24US$5.92
US$6.25
+5.6%
60.0%US$10.00US$2.50US$8.042
Jun ’24US$2.24
US$3.75
+67.4%
33.3%US$5.00US$2.50US$10.602
May ’24n/a
US$5.25
0%
42.9%US$7.50US$3.00US$9.842
Apr ’24US$1.94
US$5.25
+170.3%
42.9%US$7.50US$3.00US$13.862
Mar ’24US$2.75
US$5.25
+91.3%
42.9%US$7.50US$3.00US$15.442
Feb ’24n/a
US$4.83
0%
39.9%US$7.50US$3.00US$16.723
Jan ’24n/a
US$4.83
0%
39.9%US$7.50US$3.00US$18.883
Dec ’23US$2.11
US$4.83
+129.1%
39.9%US$7.50US$3.00US$15.993

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 19:53
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Ku KangB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Richard ShannonCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC