Stock Analysis

PipeHawk plc (LON:PIP) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 35%

AIM:PIP
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PipeHawk plc (LON:PIP) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 35% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 55% share price decline.

After such a large drop in price, PipeHawk's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Electronic industry in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1x and even P/S above 3x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for PipeHawk

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:PIP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 29th 2024

How Has PipeHawk Performed Recently?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for PipeHawk as its revenue has been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for PipeHawk, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, PipeHawk would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 70% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 37% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 4.1%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that PipeHawk's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On PipeHawk's P/S

PipeHawk's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Electronic companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We're very surprised to see PipeHawk currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for PipeHawk that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.