Stock Analysis

Further Upside For Newmark Security plc (LON:NWT) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 30% Bounce

AIM:NWT
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The Newmark Security plc (LON:NWT) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 30%. The annual gain comes to 106% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Although its price has surged higher, when close to half the companies operating in the United Kingdom's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1x, you may still consider Newmark Security as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Newmark Security

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:NWT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

What Does Newmark Security's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The recent revenue growth at Newmark Security would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this good revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders may have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Newmark Security will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Newmark Security's Revenue Growth Trending?

Newmark Security's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.1%. The latest three year period has also seen a 8.2% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 4.4% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Newmark Security's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Newmark Security's P/S?

Newmark Security's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that Newmark Security currently trades at a low P/S relative to the industry is unexpected considering its recent three-year growth is in line with the wider industry forecast. When we see industry-like revenue growth but a lower than expected P/S, we assume potential risks are what might be placing downward pressure on the share price. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Newmark Security that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Newmark Security might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.