Stock Analysis

Midwich Group's (LON:MIDW) Dividend Will Be Increased To £0.045

AIM:MIDW
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Midwich Group plc (LON:MIDW) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 26th of October to £0.045. This takes the dividend yield to 3.1%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

See our latest analysis for Midwich Group

Midwich Group's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Midwich Group's dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 3,955% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 42.9% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 49%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
AIM:MIDW Historic Dividend September 9th 2022

Midwich Group's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, Midwich Group's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. The annual payment during the last 6 years was £0.0306 in 2016, and the most recent fiscal year payment was £0.156. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 31% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Earnings per share has been crawling upwards at 3.8% per year. There are exceptions, but limited earnings growth and a high payout ratio can signal that a company has reached maturity. That's fine as far as it goes, but we're less enthusiastic as this often signals that the dividend is likely to grow slower in the future.

In Summary

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. While the low payout ratio is redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We don't think Midwich Group is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Midwich Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.