Stock Analysis

Revenues Working Against Holders Technology plc's (LON:HDT) Share Price Following 34% Dive

AIM:HDT
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Holders Technology plc (LON:HDT) share price has dived 34% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 63% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, when close to half the companies operating in the United Kingdom's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1x, you may consider Holders Technology as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Holders Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:HDT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2024

What Does Holders Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Holders Technology's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Holders Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Holders Technology?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Holders Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 13% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 24% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 4.5% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Holders Technology is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What Does Holders Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

The southerly movements of Holders Technology's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Holders Technology confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Holders Technology (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Holders Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Holders Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.