Stock Analysis

Is Network International Holdings (LON:NETW) Using Too Much Debt?

LSE:NETW
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Network International Holdings plc (LON:NETW) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Network International Holdings

What Is Network International Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Network International Holdings had US$433.5m of debt, up from US$375.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had US$398.8m in cash, and so its net debt is US$34.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:NETW Debt to Equity History April 1st 2021

How Healthy Is Network International Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Network International Holdings had liabilities of US$358.3m due within a year, and liabilities of US$392.4m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$398.8m as well as receivables valued at US$233.3m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$118.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Network International Holdings shares are worth a total of US$3.13b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Carrying virtually no net debt, Network International Holdings has a very light debt load indeed.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Network International Holdings has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.32 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 2.0 times the interest expense. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Shareholders should be aware that Network International Holdings's EBIT was down 56% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Network International Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Network International Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 53% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Both Network International Holdings's EBIT growth rate and its interest cover were discouraging. But on the brighter side of life, its net debt to EBITDA leaves us feeling more frolicsome. We think that Network International Holdings's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Network International Holdings is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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