What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. With that in mind, the ROCE of Kaspi.kz (LON:KSPI) looks great, so lets see what the trend can tell us.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Kaspi.kz, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.24 = ₸896b ÷ (₸4.5t - ₸841b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).
Thus, Kaspi.kz has an ROCE of 24%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the IT industry average of 10.0%.
See our latest analysis for Kaspi.kz
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Kaspi.kz compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Kaspi.kz here for free.
What Can We Tell From Kaspi.kz's ROCE Trend?
We like the trends that we're seeing from Kaspi.kz. The data shows that returns on capital have increased substantially over the last five years to 24%. Basically the business is earning more per dollar of capital invested and in addition to that, 184% more capital is being employed now too. This can indicate that there's plenty of opportunities to invest capital internally and at ever higher rates, a combination that's common among multi-baggers.
For the record though, there was a noticeable increase in the company's current liabilities over the period, so we would attribute some of the ROCE growth to that. Essentially the business now has suppliers or short-term creditors funding about 19% of its operations, which isn't ideal. It's worth keeping an eye on this because as the percentage of current liabilities to total assets increases, some aspects of risk also increase.
The Key Takeaway
All in all, it's terrific to see that Kaspi.kz is reaping the rewards from prior investments and is growing its capital base. And since the stock has fallen 41% over the last year, there might be an opportunity here. So researching this company further and determining whether or not these trends will continue seems justified.
If you want to continue researching Kaspi.kz, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.
If you want to search for more stocks that have been earning high returns, check out this free list of stocks with solid balance sheets that are also earning high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:KSPI
Kaspi.kz
Provides payments, marketplace, and fintech solutions for consumers and merchants in the Republic of Kazakhstan.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.