What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. So when we looked at the ROCE trend of Kaspi.kz (LON:KSPI) we really liked what we saw.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Kaspi.kz, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.24 = ₸813b ÷ (₸4.1t - ₸739b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
So, Kaspi.kz has an ROCE of 24%. That's a fantastic return and not only that, it outpaces the average of 9.9% earned by companies in a similar industry.
See our latest analysis for Kaspi.kz
In the above chart we have measured Kaspi.kz's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Kaspi.kz.
What Can We Tell From Kaspi.kz's ROCE Trend?
We like the trends that we're seeing from Kaspi.kz. The numbers show that in the last five years, the returns generated on capital employed have grown considerably to 24%. Basically the business is earning more per dollar of capital invested and in addition to that, 171% more capital is being employed now too. The increasing returns on a growing amount of capital is common amongst multi-baggers and that's why we're impressed.
For the record though, there was a noticeable increase in the company's current liabilities over the period, so we would attribute some of the ROCE growth to that. Essentially the business now has suppliers or short-term creditors funding about 18% of its operations, which isn't ideal. Keep an eye out for future increases because when the ratio of current liabilities to total assets gets particularly high, this can introduce some new risks for the business.
The Key Takeaway
To sum it up, Kaspi.kz has proven it can reinvest in the business and generate higher returns on that capital employed, which is terrific. Astute investors may have an opportunity here because the stock has declined 48% in the last year. So researching this company further and determining whether or not these trends will continue seems justified.
One more thing: We've identified 2 warning signs with Kaspi.kz (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
If you want to search for more stocks that have been earning high returns, check out this free list of stocks with solid balance sheets that are also earning high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:KSPI
Kaspi.kz
Provides payments, marketplace, and fintech solutions for consumers and merchants in the Republic of Kazakhstan.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.