Stock Analysis

Kainos Group's (LON:KNOS) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

LSE:KNOS
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Kainos Group plc (LON:KNOS) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 20th of October to £0.161. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 1.9% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Kainos Group

Kainos Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Before this announcement, Kainos Group was paying out 71% of earnings, but a comparatively small 50% of free cash flows. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 45.5%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 31%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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LSE:KNOS Historic Dividend July 6th 2023

Kainos Group's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, Kainos Group's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. The annual payment during the last 8 years was £0.036 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was £0.239. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 27% a year over that time. Kainos Group has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's encouraging to see that Kainos Group has been growing its earnings per share at 27% a year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing nicely, but the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends. This might be sustainable, but we wonder why Kainos Group is not retaining those earnings to reinvest in growth.

We Really Like Kainos Group's Dividend

Overall, we think this could be an attractive income stock, and it is only getting better by paying a higher dividend this year. Earnings are easily covering distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Earnings growth generally bodes well for the future value of company dividend payments. See if the 7 Kainos Group analysts we track are forecasting continued growth with our free report on analyst estimates for the company. Is Kainos Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.