Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into Argo Blockchain plc (LON:ARB) Stock Yet As It Plummets 44%

LSE:ARB
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The Argo Blockchain plc (LON:ARB) share price has softened a substantial 44% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 12%.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Argo Blockchain's P/S ratio of 2.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Software industry in the United Kingdom is also close to 2.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Argo Blockchain

ps-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:ARB Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

How Has Argo Blockchain Performed Recently?

Argo Blockchain could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Argo Blockchain will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Argo Blockchain?

Argo Blockchain's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 40%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 94% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 50% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 9.5% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Argo Blockchain's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Argo Blockchain's P/S?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Argo Blockchain looks to be in line with the rest of the Software industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Argo Blockchain currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Argo Blockchain (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.