Shearwater Group Valuation

Is SWG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SWG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SWG (£0.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£2.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SWG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWG?

Key metric: As SWG is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SWG. This is calculated by dividing SWG's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SWG's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
SalesUK£22.64m
Market CapUK£8.22m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SWG's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SWG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
S247 Smarttech247 Group
1.2xn/aUK£13.2m
BRSD BrandShield Systems
1.2x30.2%UK£7.8m
MBO MobilityOne
0.01xn/aUK£2.4m
KBT K3 Business Technology Group
0.7xn/aUK£27.5m
SWG Shearwater Group
0.4xn/aUK£8.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SWG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SWG's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Software Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.6x7.9%
SWG Shearwater Group
0.4xn/aUS$10.42m
0.3xn/aUS$77.58m
MBO MobilityOne
0.01xn/aUS$3.03m
SWG 0.4xIndustry Avg. 2.6xNo. of Companies13PS0246810+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.6x19.8%
SWG Shearwater Group
0.4xn/aUS$10.42m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SWG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the UK Software industry average (2.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SWG's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SWG PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SWG's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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