Stock Analysis

Investors Holding Back On Shearwater Group plc (LON:SWG)

AIM:SWG
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Shearwater Group plc's (LON:SWG) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Software industry in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.1x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Shearwater Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:SWG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 12th 2024

How Shearwater Group Has Been Performing

Shearwater Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Shearwater Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shearwater Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shearwater Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 15% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 29% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 22% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.3% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Shearwater Group's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Shearwater Group's P/S

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

A look at Shearwater Group's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shearwater Group that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shearwater Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.