To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at D4t4 Solutions (LON:D4T4) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for D4t4 Solutions:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.10 = UK£2.8m ÷ (UK£31m - UK£3.6m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Thus, D4t4 Solutions has an ROCE of 10.0%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 9.6%, it's still a low return by itself.
Check out our latest analysis for D4t4 Solutions
In the above chart we have measured D4t4 Solutions' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Can We Tell From D4t4 Solutions' ROCE Trend?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at D4t4 Solutions, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 18% over the last five years. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by D4t4 Solutions' diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Yet despite these poor fundamentals, the stock has gained a huge 156% over the last five years, so investors appear very optimistic. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
D4t4 Solutions could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation on our platform quite valuable.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About AIM:CLBS
Celebrus Technologies
Provides information technology products and services.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.