Stock Analysis

Bullish: Analysts Just Made An Incredible Upgrade To Their CentralNic Group Plc (LON:CNIC) Forecasts

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CentralNic Group Plc (LON:CNIC) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's statutory forecasts. Consensus estimates suggest investors could expect greatly increased statutory revenues and earnings per share, with the analysts modelling a real improvement in business performance. Investors have been pretty optimistic on CentralNic Group too, with the stock up 11% to UK£1.32 over the past week. It will be interesting to see if today's upgrade is enough to propel the stock even higher.

Following the upgrade, the current consensus from CentralNic Group's four analysts is for revenues of US$698m in 2022 which - if met - would reflect a major 22% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to shoot up 138% to US$0.058. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$613m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.044 in 2022. There has definitely been an improvement in perception recently, with the analysts substantially increasing both their earnings and revenue estimates.

Our analysis indicates that CNIC is potentially undervalued!

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AIM:CNIC Earnings and Revenue Growth October 19th 2022

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that CentralNic Group's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2022 expected to display 22% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 54% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 17% annually. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that CentralNic Group is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us from these new estimates is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, with improved earnings power expected for this year. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for this year, and sales are expected to grow faster than the wider market. More bullish expectations could be a signal for investors to take a closer look at CentralNic Group.

Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for CentralNic Group going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.