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Investor Optimism Abounds Arcontech Group plc (LON:ARC) But Growth Is Lacking
It's not a stretch to say that Arcontech Group plc's (LON:ARC) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in the United Kingdom, where the median P/E ratio is around 17x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Recent times have been advantageous for Arcontech Group as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Arcontech Group
Is There Some Growth For Arcontech Group?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Arcontech Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.9% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 26% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 20% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Arcontech Group's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On Arcontech Group's P/E
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Arcontech Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a poor outlook with earnings heading backwards, we suspect share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Arcontech Group (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:ARC
Arcontech Group
Engages in the development and sale of proprietary software in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Africa, North America, Australasia, and the Asia Pacific.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.
Market Insights
Weekly Picks
Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08
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