Topps Tiles Plc

LSE:TPT Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£76.7m

Topps Tiles Valuation

Is TPT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TPT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TPT (£0.38) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£1.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TPT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TPT?

Key metric: As TPT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TPT. This is calculated by dividing TPT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TPT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesUK£251.76m
Market CapUK£76.70m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TPT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TPT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
MRK Marks Electrical Group
0.5x8.0%UK£55.5m
VIC Victorian Plumbing Group
1.1x9.6%UK£313.3m
WIX Wickes Group
0.2x3.7%UK£371.3m
CMO CMO Group
0.2x2.8%UK£10.3m
TPT Topps Tiles
0.3x8.5%UK£75.3m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TPT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TPT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Specialty Retail Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VTU Vertu Motors
0.04x5.7%US$246.10m
CFYN Caffyns
0.05xn/aUS$15.37m
WRKS TheWorks.co.uk
0.04xn/aUS$15.25m
MMAG musicMagpie
0.07xn/aUS$11.18m
TPT 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies7PS00.40.81.21.62+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TPT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the UK Specialty Retail industry average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TPT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TPT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TPT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TPT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.38
UK£0.60
+55.6%
21.0%UK£0.70UK£0.42n/a3
Dec ’25UK£0.40
UK£0.60
+49.0%
21.0%UK£0.70UK£0.42n/a3
Nov ’25UK£0.45
UK£0.62
+39.9%
23.2%UK£0.75UK£0.42n/a3
Oct ’25UK£0.44
UK£0.62
+41.7%
23.2%UK£0.75UK£0.42n/a3
Sep ’25UK£0.46
UK£0.62
+35.4%
23.2%UK£0.75UK£0.42n/a3
Aug ’25UK£0.45
UK£0.62
+39.0%
23.2%UK£0.75UK£0.42n/a3
Jul ’25UK£0.41
UK£0.72
+78.8%
3.3%UK£0.75UK£0.70n/a2
Jun ’25UK£0.43
UK£0.72
+66.8%
3.3%UK£0.75UK£0.70n/a2
May ’25UK£0.43
UK£0.62
+42.3%
25.0%UK£0.75UK£0.40n/a3
Apr ’25UK£0.45
UK£0.80
+77.0%
12.5%UK£0.90UK£0.70n/a2
Mar ’25UK£0.43
UK£0.80
+85.6%
12.5%UK£0.90UK£0.70n/a2
Feb ’25UK£0.45
UK£0.80
+77.0%
12.5%UK£0.90UK£0.70n/a2
Jan ’25UK£0.50
UK£0.80
+60.0%
12.5%UK£0.90UK£0.70n/a2
Dec ’24UK£0.46
UK£0.80
+72.6%
12.5%UK£0.90UK£0.70UK£0.402
Nov ’24UK£0.47
UK£0.85
+78.9%
17.6%UK£1.00UK£0.70UK£0.452
Oct ’24UK£0.48
UK£0.85
+75.6%
17.6%UK£1.00UK£0.70UK£0.442
Sep ’24UK£0.50
UK£0.85
+70.0%
17.6%UK£1.00UK£0.70UK£0.462
Aug ’24UK£0.51
UK£0.85
+66.7%
17.6%UK£1.00UK£0.70UK£0.452
Jul ’24UK£0.48
UK£0.85
+77.1%
17.6%UK£1.00UK£0.70UK£0.412
Jun ’24UK£0.54
UK£0.85
+58.6%
17.6%UK£1.00UK£0.70UK£0.432
May ’24UK£0.51
UK£0.85
+66.7%
17.6%UK£1.00UK£0.70UK£0.432
Apr ’24UK£0.46
UK£0.85
+86.4%
17.6%UK£1.00UK£0.70UK£0.452
Mar ’24UK£0.51
UK£0.85
+66.7%
17.6%UK£1.00UK£0.70UK£0.432
Feb ’24UK£0.49
UK£0.85
+73.8%
17.6%UK£1.00UK£0.70UK£0.452
Jan ’24UK£0.45
UK£0.80
+77.8%
25.0%UK£1.00UK£0.60UK£0.502
Dec ’23UK£0.42
UK£0.80
+88.7%
25.0%UK£1.00UK£0.60UK£0.462

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 18:43
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/28
Annual Earnings2024/09/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Topps Tiles Plc is covered by 21 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Louise RichardsonArden Partners Plc.
Robert ChantryBerenberg
Ian MacdougallBlue Oar Securities