Stock Analysis

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying JD Sports Fashion plc (LON:JD.)?

LSE:JD.
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While JD Sports Fashion plc (LON:JD.) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the LSE over the last few months, increasing to UK£1.42 at one point, and dropping to the lows of UK£0.89. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether JD Sports Fashion's current trading price of UK£0.97 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at JD Sports Fashion’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the GB Specialty Retail industry.

Is JD Sports Fashion Still Cheap?

According to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average, the stock currently looks expensive. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that JD Sports Fashion’s ratio of 15.35x is above its peer average of 6.51x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Specialty Retail industry. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since JD Sports Fashion’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will JD Sports Fashion generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
LSE:JD. Earnings and Revenue Growth October 31st 2022

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for JD Sports Fashion. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in JD.’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe JD. should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on JD. for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for JD., which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into JD Sports Fashion, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with JD Sports Fashion, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LSE:JD.

JD Sports Fashion

Engages in the retail of branded sports fashion and outdoor clothing, footwear, accessories, and equipment for kids, women, and men in the United Kingdom, Republic of Ireland, Europe, North America, and internationally.

Reasonable growth potential with proven track record.