Stock Analysis

With 89% ownership in Halfords Group plc (LON:HFD), institutional investors have a lot riding on the business

LSE:HFD
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Key Insights

  • Significantly high institutional ownership implies Halfords Group's stock price is sensitive to their trading actions
  • 53% of the business is held by the top 9 shareholders
  • Using data from analyst forecasts alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company

Every investor in Halfords Group plc (LON:HFD) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are institutions with 89% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

And as as result, institutional investors reaped the most rewards after the company's stock price gained 11% last week. The one-year return on investment is currently 21% and last week's gain would have been more than welcomed.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Halfords Group.

See our latest analysis for Halfords Group

ownership-breakdown
LSE:HFD Ownership Breakdown November 4th 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Halfords Group?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

We can see that Halfords Group does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Halfords Group's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
LSE:HFD Earnings and Revenue Growth November 4th 2023

Since institutional investors own more than half the issued stock, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. Halfords Group is not owned by hedge funds. Fidelity International Ltd is currently the largest shareholder, with 10% of shares outstanding. With 7.4% and 7.1% of the shares outstanding respectively, Schroder Investment Management Limited and Jupiter Fund Management Plc are the second and third largest shareholders.

On further inspection, we found that more than half the company's shares are owned by the top 9 shareholders, suggesting that the interests of the larger shareholders are balanced out to an extent by the smaller ones.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of Halfords Group

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Halfords Group plc in their own names. It has a market capitalization of just UK£479m, and the board has only UK£740k worth of shares in their own names. We generally like to see a board more invested. However it might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying.

General Public Ownership

With a 10% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Halfords Group. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Halfords Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Halfords Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.