Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

LSE:0H9G Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.1b

Advance Auto Parts Valuation

Is 0H9G undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0H9G when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$38.44
Fair Value
7.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
20
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 0H9G ($35.57) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($38.44)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0H9G is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0H9G?

Key metric: As 0H9G is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0H9G. This is calculated by dividing 0H9G's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0H9G's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesUS$9.09b
Market CapUS$2.10b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0H9G's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0H9G vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.1x
HFD Halfords Group
0.2x2.14%UK£361.9m
VTU Vertu Motors
0.04x3.65%UK£202.0m
MOTR Motorpoint Group
0.1x6.63%UK£117.4m
CURY Currys
0.2x1.27%UK£1.3b
0H9G Advance Auto Parts
0.2x-0.70%US$2.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0H9G is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0H9G's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Specialty Retail Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VTU Vertu Motors
0.04x3.65%US$268.17m
WRKS TheWorks.co.uk
0.06x1.72%US$22.65m
CFYN Caffyns
0.04xn/aUS$15.39m
MMAG musicMagpie
0.07xn/aUS$11.18m
0H9G 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.4xNo. of Companies8PS00.40.81.21.62+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0H9G is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the UK Specialty Retail industry average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0H9G's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0H9G PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0H9G is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0H9G forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$35.57
US$40.40
+13.58%
24.66%US$65.00US$13.00n/a20
May ’26US$32.71
US$41.38
+26.52%
24.51%US$65.00US$13.00n/a21
Apr ’26US$39.48
US$41.38
+4.82%
24.51%US$65.00US$13.00n/a21
Mar ’26US$36.39
US$41.62
+14.37%
24.62%US$65.00US$13.00n/a21
Feb ’26US$48.53
US$44.10
-9.14%
22.08%US$65.00US$17.00n/a21
Jan ’26US$46.76
US$44.05
-5.80%
24.21%US$66.00US$17.00n/a21
Dec ’25US$41.42
US$44.00
+6.23%
24.83%US$66.00US$17.00n/a20
Nov ’25US$36.16
US$49.10
+35.79%
29.06%US$85.00US$17.00n/a20
Oct ’25US$38.03
US$49.25
+29.51%
29.99%US$85.00US$17.00n/a20
Sep ’25US$45.13
US$50.65
+12.24%
26.01%US$85.00US$17.00n/a20
Aug ’25US$61.50
US$63.05
+2.52%
24.98%US$100.00US$21.00n/a20
Jul ’25US$59.77
US$63.35
+6.00%
24.98%US$100.00US$21.00n/a20
Jun ’25US$69.08
US$63.53
-8.04%
25.69%US$100.00US$21.00n/a19
May ’25US$73.46
US$64.53
-12.16%
23.01%US$100.00US$35.00US$32.7120
Apr ’25US$85.28
US$64.03
-24.92%
23.62%US$100.00US$35.00US$39.4820
Mar ’25US$69.01
US$63.28
-8.31%
22.63%US$98.00US$35.00US$36.3920
Feb ’25US$68.71
US$56.74
-17.43%
25.05%US$98.00US$32.00US$48.5321
Jan ’25US$61.26
US$56.63
-7.57%
24.47%US$98.00US$32.00US$46.7620
Dec ’24US$53.42
US$57.22
+7.10%
25.04%US$98.00US$32.00US$41.4220
Nov ’24US$51.08
US$68.02
+33.15%
19.12%US$98.00US$42.00US$36.1620
Oct ’24US$56.24
US$72.12
+28.24%
14.33%US$98.00US$50.00US$38.0319
Sep ’24US$67.37
US$72.00
+6.88%
12.03%US$84.00US$50.00US$45.1317
Aug ’24US$73.82
US$75.06
+1.68%
12.68%US$85.00US$50.00US$61.5018
Jul ’24US$70.23
US$79.67
+13.44%
17.90%US$130.00US$57.00US$59.7718
Jun ’24US$69.20
US$85.79
+23.97%
32.99%US$191.00US$57.00US$69.0819
May ’24US$125.64
US$151.25
+20.39%
12.00%US$191.00US$105.00US$73.4620
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
US$41.02
Fair Value
13.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
20
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/17 22:57
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/16 00:00
Earnings2024/12/28
Annual Earnings2024/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is covered by 53 analysts. 25 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Bret JordanAvondale Partners
Craig KennisonBaird