Ultimate Products Plc

BATS-CHIXE:ULTPL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£95.0m

Ultimate Products Valuation

Is ULTPL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ULTPL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ULTPL (£1.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£2.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ULTPL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ULTPL?

Key metric: As ULTPL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ULTPL. This is calculated by dividing ULTPL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ULTPL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9x
EarningsUK£10.53m
Market CapUK£95.05m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ULTPL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ULTPL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.1x
SNWS Smiths News
6.4x-2.7%UK£163.4m
SUP Supreme
9.2x-9.0%UK£219.2m
LIKE Likewise Group
46.2x48.5%UK£46.4m
INCH Inchcape
10.7x9.2%UK£3.0b
ULTPL Ultimate Products
9x10.8%UK£95.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ULTPL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ULTPL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Retail Distributors Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies5PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ULTPL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the European Retail Distributors industry average (12.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ULTPL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ULTPL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ULTPL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ULTPL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.13
UK£1.89
+68.0%
4.2%UK£2.00UK£1.82n/a3
Dec ’25UK£1.19
UK£1.89
+59.5%
4.2%UK£2.00UK£1.82n/a3
Nov ’25UK£1.39
UK£1.89
+35.7%
4.2%UK£2.00UK£1.82n/a3
Oct ’25UK£1.40
UK£1.89
+35.0%
4.2%UK£2.00UK£1.82n/a3
Sep ’25UK£1.45
UK£1.89
+30.3%
4.2%UK£2.00UK£1.82n/a3
Aug ’25UK£1.43
UK£1.89
+32.2%
4.2%UK£2.00UK£1.82n/a3
Jul ’25UK£1.48
UK£1.89
+27.7%
4.2%UK£2.00UK£1.82n/a3
Jun ’25UK£1.48
UK£1.89
+28.1%
4.2%UK£2.00UK£1.82n/a3
May ’25UK£1.82
UK£2.20
+20.9%
9.8%UK£2.50UK£2.00n/a3
Apr ’25UK£1.46
UK£2.20
+51.2%
9.8%UK£2.50UK£2.00n/a3
Mar ’25UK£1.49
UK£2.20
+47.7%
9.8%UK£2.50UK£2.00n/a3
Feb ’25UK£1.50
UK£2.20
+46.7%
9.8%UK£2.50UK£2.00n/a3
Jan ’25UK£1.48
UK£2.20
+49.2%
9.8%UK£2.50UK£2.00UK£1.183
Dec ’24UK£1.50
UK£2.20
+46.7%
9.8%UK£2.50UK£2.00UK£1.193
Nov ’24n/a
UK£2.20
0%
9.8%UK£2.50UK£2.00UK£1.393
Oct ’24n/a
UK£2.20
0%
9.8%UK£2.50UK£2.00UK£1.403
Sep ’24n/a
UK£2.20
0%
9.8%UK£2.50UK£2.00UK£1.453
Aug ’24UK£1.29
UK£2.20
+70.5%
9.8%UK£2.50UK£2.00UK£1.433
Jul ’24UK£1.27
UK£2.17
+71.3%
10.9%UK£2.50UK£2.00UK£1.483
Jun ’24UK£1.20
UK£2.17
+80.6%
10.9%UK£2.50UK£2.00UK£1.483
May ’24UK£1.39
UK£2.17
+56.4%
10.9%UK£2.50UK£2.00UK£1.823
Apr ’24UK£1.36
UK£2.17
+59.9%
10.9%UK£2.50UK£2.00UK£1.463

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/05 05:59
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/03 00:00
Earnings2024/07/31
Annual Earnings2024/07/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ultimate Products Plc is covered by 6 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark PhotiadesCanaccord Genuity
Nigel ParsonCavendish
Andrew SaundersCavendish Historical (Cenkos Securities)