Supreme Valuation

Is SUP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SUP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SUP (£1.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£5.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SUP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SUP?

Key metric: As SUP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SUP. This is calculated by dividing SUP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SUP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.5x
EarningsUK£22.43m
Market CapUK£181.33m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SUP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SUP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.4x
SNWS Smiths News
5.8x-2.7%UK£145.7m
ULTP Ultimate Products
9.9x10.8%UK£105.2m
LIKE Likewise Group
39.4x48.5%UK£39.9m
INCH Inchcape
10.6x9.6%UK£2.9b
SUP Supreme
8.5x-1.2%UK£190.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SUP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the peer average (16.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SUP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Retail Distributors Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SUP 8.5xIndustry Avg. 13.0xNo. of Companies5PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SUP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the European Retail Distributors industry average (13x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SUP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SUP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.5x
Fair PE Ratio10.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SUP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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