Gladstone Commercial Corporation

LSE:0IVQ Stock Report

Market Cap: US$738.5m

Gladstone Commercial Valuation

Is 0IVQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0IVQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0IVQ ($17.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($22.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0IVQ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0IVQ?

Key metric: As 0IVQ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0IVQ. This is calculated by dividing 0IVQ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0IVQ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio87x
EarningsUS$8.48m
Market CapUS$738.51m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0IVQ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0IVQ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average43.5x
UKCM UK Commercial Property REIT
29.9xn/aUK£947.3m
PCTN Picton Property Income
45.6x40.4%UK£370.9m
SREI Schroder Real Estate Investment Trust
82xn/aUK£247.5m
AEWU AEW UK REIT
16.4xn/aUK£148.6m
0IVQ Gladstone Commercial
88.2x14.2%US$738.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0IVQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (88.2x) compared to the peer average (43.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0IVQ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0IVQ 87.0xIndustry Avg. 22.2xNo. of Companies8PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0IVQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (88.2x) compared to the European REITs industry average (22.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0IVQ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0IVQ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio87x
Fair PE Ratio16.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0IVQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (88.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0IVQ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$17.04
US$17.20
+1.0%
4.4%US$18.00US$16.00n/a5
Nov ’25US$15.51
US$15.90
+2.5%
5.0%US$17.00US$15.00n/a5
Oct ’25US$16.15
US$15.00
-7.1%
6.2%US$16.00US$13.50n/a4
Sep ’25US$15.17
US$15.00
-1.1%
6.2%US$16.00US$13.50n/a4
Aug ’25US$14.87
US$14.88
+0.03%
5.5%US$15.50US$13.50n/a4
Jul ’25US$13.95
US$14.88
+6.6%
5.5%US$15.50US$13.50n/a4
Jun ’25US$14.30
US$14.88
+4.0%
5.5%US$15.50US$13.50n/a4
May ’25US$13.58
US$14.00
+3.1%
7.6%US$15.50US$12.50n/a4
Apr ’25US$13.75
US$14.00
+1.8%
7.6%US$15.50US$12.50n/a4
Mar ’25US$12.59
US$13.50
+7.2%
5.2%US$14.00US$12.50n/a3
Feb ’25US$12.86
US$13.50
+5.0%
5.2%US$14.00US$12.50n/a3
Jan ’25US$13.26
US$13.50
+1.8%
5.2%US$14.00US$12.50n/a3
Dec ’24US$12.89
US$13.50
+4.7%
5.2%US$14.00US$12.50n/a3
Nov ’24US$12.00
US$14.25
+18.8%
1.8%US$14.50US$14.00US$15.512
Oct ’24US$12.47
US$14.25
+14.3%
1.8%US$14.50US$14.00US$16.152
Sep ’24US$13.15
US$14.50
+10.3%
2.8%US$15.00US$14.00US$15.173
Aug ’24US$13.25
US$13.83
+4.4%
6.1%US$15.00US$13.00US$14.873
Jul ’24US$12.33
US$13.83
+12.2%
6.1%US$15.00US$13.00US$13.953
Jun ’24US$11.66
US$13.67
+17.2%
6.9%US$15.00US$13.00US$14.303
May ’24US$12.04
US$16.50
+37.1%
12.5%US$18.00US$13.00US$13.584
Apr ’24US$12.45
US$16.50
+32.5%
12.5%US$18.00US$13.00US$13.754
Mar ’24US$13.38
US$17.25
+28.9%
4.8%US$18.00US$16.00US$12.594
Feb ’24US$16.75
US$18.88
+12.7%
6.0%US$20.00US$17.50US$12.864
Jan ’24US$18.60
US$19.50
+4.8%
5.7%US$21.00US$18.00US$13.264
Dec ’23US$19.04
US$19.50
+2.4%
5.7%US$21.00US$18.00US$12.894
Nov ’23US$17.65
US$22.00
+24.6%
10.7%US$24.00US$18.00US$12.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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